Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002514 0.002667 0.002832 0.003022 0.003238 0.003478 0.003766
2025-04-20 0.002194 0.002386 0.002603 0.002868 0.003189 0.003573 0.004077
2025-04-27 0.002049 0.002274 0.002536 0.002872 0.003304 0.003857 0.004654
2025-05-04 0.001975 0.002229 0.002537 0.002949 0.003508 0.004278 0.005507
2025-05-11 0.001884 0.002152 0.002486 0.002947 0.003601 0.004558 0.006231
2025-05-18 0.001844 0.002133 0.002503 0.003033 0.003823 0.005065 0.007515
2025-05-25 0.001771 0.002066 0.002449 0.003013 0.003881 0.005321 0.008446
2025-06-01 0.001694 0.001989 0.002376 0.002955 0.003871 0.005456 0.009187
2025-06-08 0.001667 0.001974 0.002387 0.003020 0.004064 0.006000 0.011289
2025-06-15 0.001636 0.001951 0.002382 0.003060 0.004221 0.006516 0.013879
2025-06-22 0.001582 0.001895 0.002327 0.003016 0.004221 0.006703 0.015597
2025-06-29 0.001528 0.001836 0.002264 0.002953 0.004180 0.006787 0.017049
2025-07-06 0.001482 0.001789 0.002218 0.002921 0.004201 0.007053 0.020147
2025-07-13 0.001403 0.001693 0.002099 0.002760 0.003962 0.006625 0.018611
2025-07-20 0.001373 0.001664 0.002076 0.002758 0.004032 0.007009 0.023440
2025-07-27 0.001363 0.001663 0.002095 0.002827 0.004252 0.007891 0.039028
2025-08-03 0.001336 0.001637 0.002073 0.002824 0.004324 0.008386 0.061137
2025-08-10 0.001329 0.001640 0.002097 0.002903 0.004587 0.009666 0.485273
2025-08-17 0.001301 0.001610 0.002068 0.002884 0.004624 0.010167 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001268 0.001571 0.002022 0.002831 0.004574 0.010296 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001260 0.001570 0.002037 0.002891 0.004807 0.011859 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001248 0.001562 0.002039 0.002928 0.004992 0.013452 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001221 0.001530 0.002003 0.002887 0.004966 0.013836 NaN